Hospital ICU admissions in parts of North could pass April peak by end of October
The number of coronavirus patients in intensive care in the north-east and Yorkshire could soon surpass the April peak, MPs have been warned.
The bleak prediction was made in a briefing chaired by Chris Whitty and Minister of State for Health at the Department of Health and Social Care Ed Argar.
In a recording of the meeting an official can be heard explaining how dire the situation is looking in the north-east of England and Yorkshire.
“We are seeing a 50% increase in the most recent week in admissions, we have seen a 53% increase in umbers in hospitals,” the man explains in the leaked audio.
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“There are 94 people in ICU beds in the north-east at the moment, averaged over the last week that is around 80 in bed a day in the last week.”
He adds: “We have seen a doubling in number of ICU beds in 13 days.
“If you play that growth rate forward you get to 304 people in ICU beds in 22 days time, that would be above the peak of the first wave when we have 302 people in ICU beds.”
MPs were also shown early research by Public Health England which showed that 41% of under-30s with Covid contracted it in a pub, bar, restaurant or cafe.
Of all the age groups, infections from those settings made up a quarter of all confirmed cases.
The warning to MPs about the situation looming down on hospitals in the North came ahead of expected proposals to further restrict freedoms in the region.
It was reported yesterday that the government is considering closing pubs and restaurants in some parts of the North.
Weekly average Covid-19 hospital admissions in the north-east and Yorkshire fell to a pandemic low of seven midway through August.
As of October 2 that number stood at 107, with the average number of patients needing a ventilator bed rising from five on 13 August to 79 on 4 October.
The north-west has also been badly hit by recent spikes in confirmed cases and consequently hospital admissions.
In the north-west, the weekly average of hospital admissions fell to a low of eight on 15 August and rose to 130 by 2 October.
On 4 October covid patients requiring ventilator beds increased from 12 on 28 August to 99 on 4 October.
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